California HVAC AI SEO Case Study: +60% AI Mentions & +133% Organic Clicks in 6 Months

+60%

brand mentions in AI answers

619

AI citations (Google AI Overviews, AI Mode, Gemini)

+133%

organic clicks (5.66K → 13.2K)

9

duct-replacement prompts (~6.5K monthly volume)

Brand mentions in AI answers trend, May to November 2026, Ahrefs Brand Radar

Brand mentions in AI answers, May 10 – Nov 10, 2026 (Ahrefs Brand Radar). Daily mentions grew from ~20 to 32+ (~60%) over 6 months, up ~8x from the mid-July low.

1

About the Project

  • Industry: HVAC (residential and commercial)
  • Target market: California
  • Service: AI SEO / GEO
  • Engagement timeline: May 2026 – November 2026 (6 months)

Our Goal

Get the company cited and named in AI answers for high-intent HVAC queries, ahead of third-party sources.

We prioritized decision-stage topics where homeowners use AI answers to shortlist options before they call a contractor: replacement costs, ductwork pricing, and AC brand comparisons.

Success was measured by brand mentions and citations across AI platforms (Ahrefs Brand Radar), plus organic clicks and impressions on the same topics (Google Search Console).

2

The Challenge

  • Third-party sources dominated AI answers. Queries like “air duct replacement cost” and “most reliable AC brand” were answered from aggregators and publishers.
  • Cited, but not named. AI answers linked to the site as a source but rarely mentioned the brand by name.
  • No visibility outside Google. Zero mentions in ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Copilot.
3

Execution

Baseline and Tracking

  • Built a prompt set and set up tracking in Ahrefs Brand Radar

Answer-First Content

  • Built new info pages (e.g., duct replacement pricing, top AC brands) with the answer and price range in the first lines, a pricing table by home size, and an FAQ block

Entity and Schema

  • Added Organization, LocalBusiness, Service, and FAQ markup with sameAs links
  • Aligned brand name and NAP across the site, GBP, and directories

Technical Access

  • Checked robots.txt and WAF rules for AI and search crawlers
  • Set up Bing Webmaster Tools and IndexNow, since ChatGPT and Copilot rely on Bing’s index

Citation-Source Building

  • Built presence on third-party sources AI engines already cite for target prompts (directories, review platforms, industry publications)

Freshness and Proof

  • Updated pricing data and dateModified on cost pages
  • Added original price ranges AI can quote

Prompt Expansion

  • Added new prompts from responses where the site was found but not cited
4

The Results

AI Visibility Overview

Ahrefs Brand Radar, US (May 10 → Nov 10, 2026):

  • 38 brand mentions (total for the period)
  • 619 citations
  • 5 cited pages
  • 157 more responses found the site without citing it (next growth pool)
  • ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Copilot: no mentions yet
Ahrefs Brand Radar overview: 38 AI mentions by platform

AI mentions by platform, Ahrefs Brand Radar (May 10 – Nov 10, 2026)

Ahrefs Brand Radar overview: 619 AI citations by platform

AI citations by platform, Ahrefs Brand Radar (May 10 – Nov 10, 2026)

Prompts: Google AI Overviews

Brand named and cited for 9 duct-replacement prompts, all new vs. May 2026:

  • “air duct replacement” – 3.0K
  • “duct replacement” – 1.2K
  • “air duct replacement cost” – 700
  • “cost to replace ductwork” – 500
  • “duct work replacement” – 450
  • “hvac ductwork replacement” – 350
  • “ac duct replacement cost” – 200
  • 2 more prompts – 30 each

Combined volume: ~6.5K searches per month.

Google AI Overviews duct replacement prompts where the HVAC brand is cited

Google AI Overviews prompts where the brand is named and cited, Ahrefs Brand Radar (Nov 10 vs. May 10, 2026)

Search Console: Organic Demand on the Same Topics

Google Search Console (last 6 months vs. previous 6 months):

  • Clicks: +133% (5.66K → 13.2K)
  • Impressions: +60% (1.7M → 2.72M)
  • CTR: 0.3% → 0.5%

The latest period includes the cooling season.

Google Search Console clicks and impressions, last 6 months vs previous 6 months

Google Search Console clicks, impressions, and CTR (last 6 months vs. previous 6 months)

The queries that gained the most clicks match the topics where the site is now cited in AI answers: brand comparisons and replacement costs.

Google Search Console top queries by clicks and impressions growth

Top queries by click growth, Google Search Console (last 6 months vs. previous 6 months)

5

Key Takeaways

  • Cost queries win mentions first. The brand is named for duct pricing prompts and only cited elsewhere.
  • 5 pages carry the visibility. Concentrated, answer-first pages outperform broad content.
  • AI topics and search demand move together. The queries that grew in Search Console are the same comparison and cost topics where AI answers now cite the site.
  • AI mentions are volatile. Track weekly: mentions dipped mid-summer and then reached a new high in November.
  • Google surfaces moved first. ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Copilot are the next targets.

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